Wednesday, September 8, 2010

China may finally change its colour

China Reform@peterpeng210.blogspot.com

The Art of War by Sun Tzu says “The supreme art of war is to subdue the enemy without fighting”. U.S is fighting against China under the guidance above and has had China in its pocket. By the trend, China may finally change its colour due to its unsolvable problems.

After 30 years of economic reform, China’s society has accumulated many serious problems, such as over-high real estate prices, corruption of governmental officials, extreme disparity between the rich and the poor, etc. The developing efficiency of China’s economy has been much declining, because the Chinese government and its invested interest groups have excessively controlled China’s social wealth and resources in the past 30 years. China’s economic reform has been hard to go forward without a political reform.

To regain a support from Chinese root people, it is actually necessary now for Chinese Communist Party to launch a new “cultural revolution” to parity the extreme disparity of social wealth so as to alleviate the social crises in China, but it has been impossible for China to do so. Aftermath of the years of Mao Zedong and Deng Xiaoping, China has forever lost its strongmen who are able to smash the vested interest groups in its ruling party.

Because Chinese Communist Party does not allow anyone to challenge its ruling status, China is impossible to go the way of political reform to solve the problems it recently has. Chinese Communist Party knows clearly that even only one item of the political reform, for example, freedom on Chinese media, will be enough to accelerate the ruin of its ruling status by exposing too many of its flaws to its people.

Since it is impossible to go back to the years of Mao and also impossible to carry political reform, the recent Chinese Communist Party therefore has to go into a corridor of no return: reforming deeper and deeper on economy by opening to the outside world and covering serious social problems more and more by controlling Chinese media. It looks just like putting rocks into the mouth of a volcano to seal its upcoming eruption.

The recent dilemma of China could also be seen to some extent on the recent speeches respectively from China’s president Hu Jinto and China’s premier Wen Jiabo regarding 30-year anniversary of Shenzhen Special District for the economic reform since 1980. The two Chinese top leaders expressed quite different opinions in their speeches on China’s political reform.

The recent predicament of Chinese Communist Party certainly did not evade the sight of U.S. To push Chinese Communist Party running faster on its road of no return, recently U.S. took following steps:

1. U.S. temporarily released its military pressure on China by delaying the aircraft carrier Washington into its joint military exercise with South Korea in Yellow Sea near China,

2. U.S. Deputy Assistant to the President for National Security Affairs Duoni Long and White House National Economic Council Director Larry Summers visited China on September 5, 2010 to relieve the tension with China since the Cheonan incident of South Korea.

3. U.S. has invited China’s president Hu Jinto to visit U.S. at the beginning of 2011.

By this trend in China, China will have more and more conflicts between its vested interest groups and its root people. U.S. will finally win Chinese Communist Party without gun-smoke if Chinese society cannot handle these problems anymore. When red China will change its colour is closely under observation of the world.