Monday, January 4, 2010

Why India prepares a war against China and Pakistan simultaneously?

India and China@peter peng blog

Recently, according to Indian media, Indian Army has expressed its readiness to modify the army operational doctrine with the new training content of winning the war against China and Pakistan at the same time. This change caused attentions from U.S. and western counties and drew certainly discontent from China and Pakistan.

Analysts believe India prepares to drag Pakistan into its war against China is because India believes that it would be much easier for India to win China by fighting China and Pakistan simultaneously, but not only fighting against China and leaving Pakistan aside intact. This analysis above seems a little weird, but it is really reasonable. Let’s see the reasons as follows,

We all know that China’s land and air forces are not weaker than that of India. We also know China’s side of the Sino-Indian border is on high altitude areas such as Himalayas and Kunlun mountains. It is easy for Chinese army to defense and attack from there.

Due to high altitude in China’s side, India soldiers familiar with only normal attitude battles would feel very difficult to win Chinese soldiers specially trained in the high altitude environment. Oppositely, from high altitude areas, Chinese army could look down and easily attack India’s military facilities with various heavy firearms include artilleries and missiles. Any India’s military movement would also be easily detected by Chinese radars setup on heights there. Obviously, India may lose the battles if its army only fights China at the front theatre but not from the flanks, which, in India’s sight, are China’s fragile arteries on sea and land.

On sea, Indian navy would cut off the Chinese transportation line in India Ocean. On land, Indian army would lunge into Pakistan and occupy most part of it with Blitzkriegs to cut off the transportation line to China from Middle East and coastal ports of Pakistan. At the mean time, Indian army with tanks and artilleries would use full strengths to block Chinese attacks towards Indian land, and Indian air force would cover them on air and strafe roads and railways inland of China to hamper Chinese reinforcements to reach the boarder area. All Indian missiles would also fly to China to retaliate Chinese missile attacks although their ranges are not as far as that of the Chinese counterparts.

While battling China in theatre to win the time, India would ask U.S. and Russia on international to mediate in between it and China. Having lost arteries both on land and sea, China would feel difficult to last a long-term war against the controversy. Under the international mediation from U.S. and Russia, China would have to accept the loss and sign an armistice with India. This war would leave a defeated and destroyed Pakistan and an economy-ruined and infrastructure-destroyed China, although India would also have much loss under the long-range attacks from China.

From above we can see, to win a possible war to China, India would have to attack simultaneously into Pakistan to cut off the land artery of China. That is why India will modify the army operational doctrine to prepare a war against China and Pakistan at the same time.

At present, Army Training Command located in the Indian City Simla had accepted the new combat doctrine. Its commander Lieutenant-General Lamba said that India army would need to push to the Pakistan northeastern city Rawalpindi within 48 hours after the outbreak of war to China and Pakistan. Indian Army Chief of Staff, General Kapoor said: "India's armed forces need to fully enhance their own capacities of strategic deliveries and activities abroad in order to protect India's geo political interests. This will enable us to protect our own territorial islands and provide protection to the countries surrounding the Indian Ocean.”